tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6090287128109663430.post6227660488387250985..comments2023-03-26T05:53:21.970-07:00Comments on Matt On Form: 23rd AprilMatthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12345992288112126914noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6090287128109663430.post-78965848371271474572012-04-23T06:24:46.703-07:002012-04-23T06:24:46.703-07:00Hi Fabian, many thanks for the comment :)
I'm ...Hi Fabian, many thanks for the comment :)<br />I'm sure you'll be even happier to see me back after I get a couple to win!Matthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12345992288112126914noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6090287128109663430.post-31747228426807209322012-04-23T06:22:00.396-07:002012-04-23T06:22:00.396-07:00Hi Andrew, thanks for the comment :)
I make you ri...Hi Andrew, thanks for the comment :)<br />I make you right that it is a difficult race and I seem to have a knack for tipping in them but I've factored that into my staking I think. On reflection I may have the wrong day here but I do think it has a win in him on turf soon and although there is a doubt about the ground I don't personally think much has been given away as one of the runs he missed the break and the run at Haydock I'm not sure that he is suited to its galloping track. I've had a look at Local Singer and I can see what you're saying but the way that he appeared to stop last time after halfway puts me off somewhat and maybe the tongue tie is being tried as they don't know what went wrong? either way I guess you are being compensated with the price. Whatever happens today I hope to get a run for my money :)<br />Actually just seen it has been withdrawn anyway so it looks like you'll have to cheer mine home lolMatthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12345992288112126914noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6090287128109663430.post-58089612385966239442012-04-23T02:42:53.970-07:002012-04-23T02:42:53.970-07:00Hi Matt,
I’ve only had chance to look...Hi Matt,<br /> I’ve only had chance to look at the Windsor race – and what a tricky little race it is too !!<br /> My biggest issue with it is the uncertainty over the state of the ground - and linked to this, the potential impact of the draw. These 2 big imponderables, would make me nervous about going in heavy on anything in the race…<br /> WRT Desert Strike, I can see where you are coming from – and agree that it has a fair chance. The main issue for me, is its ability to handle soft ground.<br /> It’s run a lot of times (!) and yet only twice, when the words ‘soft’ or ‘heavy’ appear in the going description. That in itself concerns me – particularly when neither those performances were particularly good.<br /> He has run with some credit on the AW at Southwell, which has some similar characteristic to soft going – so that gives you hope. However, the lingering doubt remains…<br /> Similarly, the draw is a worry – even for a hold up horse. Conventionally, it is best to be draw high at Windsor – unless it is very soft, in which case low is the best. <br /> Desert Strike is drawn 7, which is kind of no-mans land. Whilst it shouldn’t be insurmountable whichever way the race pans out, it’s not an advantage either…<br /> In summary, as a horse, I like it: as a race, I don’t (and that’s before the mandatory withdrawal, reducing the field size from 16 to 15 and hence the place terms from 4 to 3 – plus a 10% deduction !!).<br /> FWIW, I’ve had a small play on the outsider of the field, Local Singer.<br /> He is potentially well drawn and has decent form both on soft and at the course. He is tumbling down the handicap (due to recent poor runs) but has a tongue tied applied for the first time. He could easily bomb again today – but if he does stage a revival, conditions and his handicap mark, suggest he could go close…<br />A.The Value Bettorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10788088160848379297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6090287128109663430.post-84445956471182595762012-04-22T13:31:22.007-07:002012-04-22T13:31:22.007-07:00Hi Matt good to hear from you again ;)Hi Matt good to hear from you again ;)fabianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11499412262747373186noreply@blogger.com